Thursday, March 15, 2018

March Madness Upsets




  • What are negative/positive effects of upsets in March Madness?
  • What do you think has to happen in a game for upsets to occur?
  • How do you think upsets reflect the NCAA and the people that rank the teams?
  • Have you ever been personally affected by an upset? Has there been an upset in the past few days that has disappointed you?

20 comments:

  1. 1) I think upsets have way more positive effects than negative effects on March Madness. Besides the fact that a top seed losing could push some viewers away due to level of play, upsets in the NCAA tournament really make things more exciting. When a team like UMBC, who's ranked as a 16 seed, beats a national powerhouse in UVA, who turns out to be the top seed in the entire tournament, everyone goes crazy. Brackets are broken, bets are lost, and tears are shed, but people love to see it happen because stuff like this only happens in March. The name of the tournament says it all, its "March Madness".
    2. In order for an upset to occur, so many things need to happen. First off, if the higher seeded team overlooks the lower seeded team, they're putting themselves at a major risk to be upset. Secondly, if the lower seeded team plays a perfect game and everything goes according to plan, they have a good chance to win the game. Lastly, and most importantly, the lower seed needs some luck.... a lot of it. Their opponents aren't ranked higher than them for no reason, they're talented. They need to make shots they don't usually make, while at the same time, need their opponent to miss shots they don't usually miss.

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  2. 1) While I have never been someone who follows March Madness I have more recently come to understand why people get so excited about the event. The biggest pro to the games unpredictable nature is that teams that might always be on top have the chance to upset peoples predictions and rise to the top in a short amount of time. The negative thing about this unpredictable nature is that best team does not always win. This is due to fact that one bad game and the better team is out of the entire tournament. Another example of this can be seen in football. Because there are so few games played by each team I struggle to know if the best team is truly winning. On the other end of the spectrum we can look at hockey and baseball. Both of these sports play a ton of games each year. I think that this increases the chance that in the end the better team is winning. I think that all the people that reap financial benefits off of the NCAA March Madness love the unpredictable of the nature. Because of this, millions of people make brackets and tune in watch the games.

    2) While upsets can happen for a handful of reasons at its core, upsets happen because the better team was not performing to their usual level or because the lower seed was playing unusually well. I think that Injuries also play a huge role in this.

    3) I think that all the upsets do are prove to everyone how unpredictable it is to know who will win. People who rank these teams spend a ton of time determining who has the best teams yet when it comes down to it often their predictions are wrong. It is not the fault of these rankers but of the single elimination system. There is no doubt however that if you are a Basketball Fan march madness is as exciting as it gets.

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  3. 1. I think the positives for upsets is that it creates excitement for the fans (and teams obviously) and it makes the tournament more interesting. However I think there are a lot more negatives to upsets than people may think. First off, I believe that tournament play should always be in a best of 7 or 5 game series. While this would be very unpractical for march madness in particular, it makes it so the best team comes out on top and and creates the most high quality games. If a team has a major upset, 9/10 times it is a fluke and the level of play isn't sustainable. This was apparent in the UMBC upset over UVA. They were the first team in NCAA history to upset a 16 seed, only to lose to an objectively worse team in the next round.

    2. As the article states, these games are all about who has the most momentum and that is what creates upsets. The article specifically targets the Xavier game and how they were in control for the first 34 minutes, but Florida came back in the final 6 and gained control/momentum to eventually win the game. There really isn't anyway to pin point upsets, they just happen.

    3. I really don't think upsets should affect how people see/rank a team. As I mentioned before, it's not a 7 or 5 game series and it isn't uncommon for a team to have a bad day, maybe their shooting is off, while a less skilled team is having the game of their lives. They are very situational.

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  4. 1. There are many effects, both positive and negative, of upsets in March Madness. When upsets occur, large amount of attention in drawn towards the game and the tournament all together. This results in more revenue for the NCAA, schools, companies advertised, etc. However, upsets can have negative effects as well. Teams that are expected to win but don't can receive large amounts of criticism and backlash, and lose money and funding due to their lack of achievement.
    2. Many things can attribute to an upset. The team who is the underdog can play "over their heads" meaning much better than expected, or the team expected to win can play very poorly. Coaching absolutely plays a role in an upset just like it does in any other game. If the underdog has good coaching for their opponent or if the coaching for the expected team is poor than it can occur.
    3. I don't think upsets effect the NCAA much as it is a common occurrence and fans are often intrigued by them. However, when upsets occur the people who rank teams entering the tournament and predict outcomes can be subject to backlash and criticism.

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  5. 1) The negative effects of upsets of March Madness is that most many people’s brackets get messed up. Also, if a certain team loses, then March Madness will loose some viewers. The positive effects of upsets in March Madness is that it creates more of a celebration for the team that wins with the lower seed. It also creates a bigger name for the school. For example, last year I have never heard of Gonzaga University until they made it to the final four.

    2) In a game for upsets to occur, many things happen. The team with the higher seed usually comes in more confident. While this occurs, the team with the lower seed practices a lot as the want to beat a higher seed is very strong.

    4) Yes, I have personally been affected by an upset. In my bracket some of the upsets I had was UMBC beating UVA and Syracuse beating TCU.

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  6. 1. The positives of upsets outweigh the negatives. One negative of an upset may be that people are less likely to watch the next game that the the underdog plays. This is because the team that gets an upset win in the round of 64 usually loses their round of 32 game. Of course, this isn't always the case which brings me to the positives of upsets. If there's one truth about sports, it's that people love the underdog. When a big upset happens in the NCAA tournament, it attracts excitement from across the country. That's why it's called March Madness. And even though they lost in the second round, sports fans will never forget when 16 seed UMBC beat 1 seed Virginia.
    2. For an upset to occur, the higher ranked team obviously is heavily favored to win, and the players on both sides know this. For the higher ranked team confidence can turn into cockiness. Players on the higher ranked team have less stress about the upcoming game which isn't as good as it sounds. For the lower ranked team, stress turns into drive: a desire to prove the higher ranked team and all of the fans wrong. For example the article states that when 16 seed UMBC and 1 seed Virginia were tied at 21 at the half the UMBC Retrievers realized that they had a chance to make history: being the first 16 seed to beat a 1 seed in the mens NCAA tournament. In the second half the Retrievers capitalized on the Cavaliers defensive troubles and beat Virginia 74-54.

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  7. What are negative/positive effects of upsets in March Madness?
    I think the positives of upsets far outweigh the negatives of upsets. If the top seeds always won, I don’t think people would be very interested in March madness for future years, it would be way too predictable. Seeing upsets shock people, which I think makes the game more interesting. Some people might be upset at their favorite team losing, but upsets give hopes to the fans of poorly seeded teams. The only negatives of upsets in my opinion would be ruined brackets, which don’t really matter that much. Plus, if one person's bracket is ruined over a top seed losing, like UVA to UMBC, then the other people’s brackets are probably ruined as well. Also, the underdog team gets very excited over a victory, potentially allowing them to win future games and maybe even the tournament.



    What do you think has to happen in a game for upsets to occur?
    I think a lot of things have to occur for an upset to happen. Mainly, the better seeded team has to be cocky about who they are facing. I'm sure UVA was extremely cocky about playing against a 16 seed, especially because a 1 seed had never lost to a 16 seed before the UVA UMBC game. I also think there has to be a lot of confidence from the under dog team. As Lyles put it, on the 21-21 tie at half: "I don’t think there was a point in the game that we thought we couldn’t play with them, we thought we could play with them coming into the game. Tying up with them at half definitely gave us more confidence." Even when going up against a number one seed, the UMBC team still had confidence and knew that they could do it. I also think shock plays a big part for the team that is supposed to win. Being tied at half, like the UMBC UVA game must have broken UVA’s confidence. I would have been in shock.

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  8. The upsides of having upsets in March Madness makes it all the more fun to watch. People get excited even when their pick for that game loses. I, for one, went nuts when Loyola-Chicago upset 6 seed Miami (FL.) in the first round of the tournament. I didn't even care that I had Miami winning. I was so pumped to see that team advance. The downsides is losing public viewers due to picks lost. When a team like UMBC defeats UVA, a team that was ranked first overall in their conference, people stop watching because their entire bracket has just been ruined. I had Virginia going as far as my final four, but I was glad to hear about a historic upset in men's college basketball.

    In order for an upset to occur, a team has to grab more offensive and defensive rebounds against the opposing better ranked side. They need to get fouls drawn. Therefore, they can come to free throw and give their team a leg up towards narrowing the gap of the score. They need to drive the ball down the court quickly. They need their opponents to not hit more than 50 percent behind the arc, either in a half, or in the game as a whole.

    When upsets occur, people think that those teams deserve not to be ranked as high as they are.

    An upset as a matter of fact has disappointed me

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  9. 1.
    In my opinion, the positives outweigh the negatives concerning march madness upsets. First of all everyone loves to see an underdog win. If you aren’t a diehard fan of the favorite to win then you are most likely rooting for the underdog. Yes, everyone expects the favorite to win but when, by slight chance, the underdog comes through, its huge. The classic example was the 1984 winter olympics when the US trumped the big and bad Soviets during the near end of the cold war. The point is that this was such a big deal. The march madness tournament is known for its surprises because of all the excitement and hype that anything can happen. When upsets do happen it creates a lot of attention and more viewership towards the tournament. There is no doubt that upsets increase the amount of people watching games. However, upsets can make games a lot less competitive if they won their previous game out of luck or the favorite didn’t play well.

    2.
    I don't think upsets reflect negatively on the NCAA or anyone who ranks teams because they happen all the time. 2.18% of all online brackets chose UMBC over UVA. This upset wasn’t just a surprise to the ones who ranked both of these team. I hadn’t even heard of the school before the upset happened let alone choosing them to win over UVA? An upset like this doesn’t reflect poorly on anyone because no one expected it to happen. It would be different if over 50% of the online brackets chose UMBC over UVA because then we would ask ourselves should UMBC ranked higher than a 16th seed? But they were a no name team that played at the right place at the right time. That's all that happened.

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  10. Some positive effects of upsets are they make the games more exciting, and therefore more viewership for the games. Also, if upsets didn't happen then the whole craze around filling out brackets would not even exist because who would want to fill it out if we know who is gonna win weeks in advance. Also it creates hype for all the games because if one of your friends calls an upset he is gonna be crazy focused about that game and if they get it right, they are going to be an insufferable know it all about it for about a week. Which I guess is a negative about upsets. Another negative is the big schools lose money but smaller schools can gain popularity. In a game many things can happen to cause an upset. The could have been a misplaced team that actually is a lot better than they think and they deserved to be seeded higher in the first place or a team comes out super cold. A player could have a huge game and singlehandedly take down another team even. Upsets do not mean that a team is necesarily better than another team so many of the upsets do not reflect poorly on the selection committee because an upset by definition is something that is not supposed to happen or an abnormality and they happen because so much of sports is in the moment or random and can not be predicted beforehand.

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  11. 1) I believe the positives for upsets is that it develops excitement the entirety of the tournament for the fans as well as the players. I personally believe that upsets have more negatives than positives. I think this because usually teams face off more than once, limiting an off game or a bad performance from the player. The March Madness tournament games are not like a common series game that can range from 5 and even 7 game series. This leads to March Madness rankings to not truly show the talent of one team. If we take the University of Virginia, a one seed, against University of Baltimore, Maryland, a sixteen seed, 99 out of 100 times Virginia would win. However, with a below average game from Virginia's top players such as Kyle Guy, this led the team to be thrown off and be the first number 1 seed to lose against a 16 in history.

    2) When upsets occur, it takes a lot of important things to happen. As the article mentions, the team with the most momentum will reign victorious. Take University of Texas A&M for example. With there fast paced play and confidence due to their shots going in 51.7% of the time, their momentum led to a large upset against the coveted Tar Heels.

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  13. Upsets in March Madness are often very interesting as they can have both negative and positive. Upsets are often the reason why people follow March Madness. They create a scenario in which people never expected to be; this is fun for the viewers. You get to track the "underdog" through the tournament, which some people like to do. Others, however, do not like this. They like to watch their team throughout the tournament, and when their team gets upset, they no longer want to watch March Madness. This could possibly lead to potential tv viewership loss. In order for an upset to occur, the team simply has to play better than the other team. It isn't a complex process; they just have to show up and work harder and put more points on the scoreboard. On top of this, the team needs to have heart. If they do not believe in themselves to win, they will not win. I personally have been upset in the Varsity State Semifinal game by the five seed ECE.

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  14. I think upsets are very important in March Madness and their positive effects strongly outweigh their negative effects. Fans should not go into games expected or definitively knowing which team would win, and upsets are what make brackets fun and challenging. Without them, everyone could just pick the highest seed for every game and always be right, but upsets are what makes watching March Madness fun. I think upsets can happen any way. The game can shift so quickly and it depends on the energy of the players, the momentum of the game, and sometimes just by chance. I was affected the most when Michigan State lost to Middle Tennessee two years ago. I think the people that rank the teams should not be reflected negatively by the upsets. The team rankings show how they did in the season, but anything can happen once they are in the tournament.

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  15. 1. I think that there are both positive and negative upsets during March Madness, but overall it's more positive than negative. The main positive effect is that it causes more tension and therefore excitement which is very important for viewership. However, the negative effect is that there may possibly be people who stop watching when their favorite teams get out but that would happen regardless of upsets. Furthermore, it can cause people to lose money and bets.
    2. Through reading the article I realized that a large aspect of what creates upsets is the momentum. In the Texas A&M game, the team had strong momentum throughout the majority of the game and "had every answer." Furthermore, I think outside factors such as injuries and such can drastically influence games and therefore cause upsets.
    3. I don't believe that upsets drastically affect how people rank teams nor peoples views on the NCAA because there's no exact science behind who will win or lose games and there are always exceptions to what people believe will happen.

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  16. 1.) I think upsets are not as great then people think. It is always great to see a 12 seed knock off a five, but historically those teams have not faired well in the Final Four and even the Finals. Fans want to see the best game possible, at least I do. When you have teams like UMBC who just upset Virginia it is great and exciting but now you have them playing Kansas State and thats not a great game. Every team deserves a chance but the better games with higher ratings are with higher seeds. People always think of the immediate high of the upset rather then the long term affect of the tournament. On the other hand teams that upset better teams deserve to be in the games they put themselves in good situations. If UMBC went on to win it all the upset would have been amazing, but that is so rare. Therefore upsets looks great at first, but slowly fade away as the rounds pass.

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  17. What are negative/positive effects of upsets in March Madness?
    I think upsets are great in the moment, but can have a negative effect later on in the tournament. Everyone loves a cinderella story, but the majority of the time these teams do not go onto win it all. We are then left with an extremely lopsided Final Four tournament. Being that the Final Four is the main event of March Madness, this is not good for viewership. I believe that you are losing your casual viewer when the Final Four games are bad matchups. The high ranked teams carry the largest fanbase, so when these teams lose early on, the NCAA also looses the viewers.

    What do you think has to happen in a game for upsets to occur?
    I think any team that makes it to March Madness has the ability to win a game. An upset comes down to who wants it the most.

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  18. I think there are both positive and negative effects of upsets in March Madness. A positive effect would be that it builds up the excitement and increases viewers, an unexpected win is always exciting to watch. However, a negative effect would be that since the win was unpredictable many people can be frustrated that their brackets are now wrong and could lose a lot of money as a consequence.
    According to the article there are a lot of factors that lead up to an upset. One of those factors is the momentum the team has, the team with the most momentum will be the winner. An example of this is with Texas University where they had a great deal of momentum which led them to their victory. Also when a higher seat is playing a lower seat the higher seat can be too confident of their place and that they will win. This causes them to make careless mistakes and not put as much effort in if they think winning is in their favor.

    I dont think that upsets will affect how people rank their team or changes peoples views on the NCAA. Upsets are very hard to predict so they cant blame the NCAA for an upset occurring.

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  19. 1.)
    Negative effects of upsets in March Madness could be lots of peoples brackets busting, money being loss, fans being upset, lack of views because an unfavorable team won and is going on.

    2.)
    In order for an upset in a game to occur the lower seeded team needs to beat the higher seeded teams, the ,majority of the fans at the game need to be rooting for the losing team, and the game needs to be uneventful.

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  20. What are negative/positive effects of upsets in March Madness?
    The positive effects of upsets during march madness are that people love rooting for the underdog, and that it re instill the hope for teams in the tournament that any team can win in the "win or go home" system of the NCAAs March Madness. However, there are some negatives as well. People who put money down on games could be heavily impacted by large upsets such as UMBC vs UVA. As a high school student that does not put money on the tournament, I don't really care if my bracket gets busted in the first round, whereas someone who did put down money could be extremely upset.

    What do you think has to happen in a game for upsets to occur?
    I think for an upset to occur, the underdog has to play one of their best games of the season, and their opponent has to not play their best game or have an off night. In basketball in particular, I think a team has to make sure they don't let their opponent get too much momentum or go on a huge scoring run. The play has be be sustained for the full 40 minutes and I think thats why a lot of teams struggle to complete the upset because they cannot finish the game.

    How do you think upsets reflect the NCAA and the people that rank the teams?
    I think a lot of people would argue that the public wants to see the best teams go far in the tournament because it makes for good match ups down the road. Although upsets are great in the moment the odds of that team making it deep in the tournament is unlikely, and makes for not the best games.

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Baker Mayfield picked No.1; boom or bust?

http://www.espn.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/274383/browns-know-baker-mayfield-has-risks-but-confident-he-wont-be-a-bust Will Baker Mayfie...